AJ Dybantsa is the consensus No. 1 pick in the NBA draft, or at worst top three.
He’s got a unique combination of size and scoring ability, and the team that drafts him is likely to thrust him into a high-usage role almost immediately.
But my statistical draft model has doubts. While it agrees with the consensus that this is a very strong draft class, Dybantsa is seen as a very risky pick: He’s about twice as likely as Cam Boozer to become a bust.
Let’s look at some of Dybantsa’s stats — and historical comps — to understand why the model is skeptical.
What is a BUST?
And how many former high draft picks qualify?
