๐Ÿ€ 5x5 | Royce Webb

๐Ÿ€ 5x5 | Royce Webb

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๐Ÿ€ 5x5 | Royce Webb
๐Ÿ€ 5x5 | Royce Webb
Ranking the West Playoff Contenders at FULL STRENGTH โ€” Based on Advanced Stats

Ranking the West Playoff Contenders at FULL STRENGTH โ€” Based on Advanced Stats

The REAL Western Conference standings, and what to expect for playoff matchups

Jeremias Engelmann's avatar
Jeremias Engelmann
Feb 19, 2025
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๐Ÿ€ 5x5 | Royce Webb
๐Ÿ€ 5x5 | Royce Webb
Ranking the West Playoff Contenders at FULL STRENGTH โ€” Based on Advanced Stats
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Jimmy Butler adds a dimension to the Warriors and the West playoff race. (Stacy Revere/Getty Images)


The Western Conference has a new look after the trade deadline, with multiple massive deals and win-now moves.

You might have heard that Lukaโ€™s with the Lakers now.

Letโ€™s look ahead to the rest of the season and the postseason, and answer these questions:

  1. Were the big trades enough to push these teams into the playoffs?

  2. Whatโ€™s the postseason outlook for each team in terms of seeding, matchups, and opportunities to advance?

For the projections, Iโ€™m using xRAPM and shorter rotations of the type we usually see in the postseason.

I simulated the rest of the season 10,000 times, taking into account each teamโ€™s estimated โ€œfull strengthโ€ (if healthy), its strength of schedule and its number of home and away games.

The rankings below are for the full-strength versions of the top 12 teams.

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A guest post by
Jeremias Engelmann
Basketball analyst. Creator of ESPN's Real Plus-Minus. Formerly with the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks
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